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CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+55.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP12.4Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -37μ 80ceil 148
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
195.3
projected fantasy points (σ 72.4)
floor 103μ 195ceil 288
Outcome uncertainty
- bust22%
P10 103 ptsμ̃ 195 ptsP90 288 pts
consensus: 229heuristic: 189regression: 169
Advanced Analytics
92.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.6.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.12.5
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.70%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 12.8best 270.2YoY ▼ 107.8
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 156 | 107 | 1,359 | 9 | 498% | 194.6 | 11.4 |
| 2023 | 17 | 181 | 135 | 1,749 | 12 | 498% | 270.2 | 15.9 |
| 2024 | 15 | 152 | 101 | 1,194 | 6 | 424% | 162.4 | 10.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
195
2022
270
2023
162
2024