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Antonio Gibson
RB · Free Agent · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR-35.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -93μ -15ceil 21
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
80.5
projected fantasy points (σ 44.6)
floor 23μ 81ceil 138
Outcome uncertainty
- bust79%
P10 24 ptsμ̃ 81 ptsP90 138 pts
heuristic: 83regression: 78
Advanced Analytics
47.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.80%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.1.9%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 5.8best 119.9YoY ▲ 1.0
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 149 | 546 | 3 | 46 | 353 | 119.9 | 8.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 65 | 265 | 1 | 48 | 389 | 79.4 | 5.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 120 | 538 | 1 | 23 | 206 | 80.4 | 4.7 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
120
2022
79
2023
80
2024