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Jayden Reed
WR · GB · Bye 11 · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR-3.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP88.7Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -66μ -6ceil 59
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
136.5
projected fantasy points (σ 48.9)
floor 74μ 136ceil 199
Outcome uncertainty
- bust53%
P10 74 ptsμ̃ 137 ptsP90 199 pts
consensus: 133heuristic: 142regression: 134
Advanced Analytics
58.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.9.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.13.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.70%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.8.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 8.9best 153.2YoY ▼ 11.2
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 94 | 64 | 793 | 8 | 283% | 153.2 | 9.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 75 | 55 | 857 | 6 | 275% | 142.0 | 8.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
153
2023
142
2024