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Dalton Schultz
TE · HOU · Bye 8 · Age 30 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-16.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP175.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -72μ -20ceil 39
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
79.0
projected fantasy points (σ 43.1)
floor 24μ 79ceil 134
Outcome uncertainty
- bust65%
P10 24 ptsμ̃ 79 ptsP90 134 pts
consensus: 93heuristic: 77regression: 67
Advanced Analytics
37.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.10.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.65%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 5.2best 91.5YoY ▼ 26.3
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 89 | 57 | 577 | 5 | 268% | 85.7 | 5.7 |
| 2023 | 15 | 88 | 59 | 635 | 5 | 264% | 91.5 | 6.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 85 | 53 | 532 | 2 | 263% | 65.2 | 3.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
86
2022
92
2023
65
2024