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Daniel Jones
QB · IND · Bye 13 · Age 29 · 7 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-42.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl209.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -156μ -8ceil 71
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
167.1
projected fantasy points (σ 88.5)
floor 54μ 167ceil 280
Outcome uncertainty
- bust69%
P10 54 ptsμ̃ 167 ptsP90 281 pts
heuristic: 203regression: 131
Advanced Analytics
36.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.5.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.4.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.193.3
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.1.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 15.0best 289.0YoY ▲ 78.3
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 3,205 | 15 | 5 | 708 | 7 | 289.0 | 18.1 |
| 2023 | 6 | 909 | 2 | 6 | 206 | 1 | 57.0 | 9.5 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2,070 | 8 | 7 | 265 | 2 | 135.3 | 13.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
289
2022
57
2023
135
2024