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Puka Nacua
WR · LAR · Bye 11 · Age 25 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+86.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP3.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -66μ 188ceil 238
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
225.6
projected fantasy points (σ 118.6)
floor 74μ 226ceil 377
Outcome uncertainty
- bust23%
P10 74 ptsμ̃ 226 ptsP90 378 pts
consensus: 340heuristic: 188regression: 149
Advanced Analytics
93.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.5.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.13.5
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.69%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 11.5best 193.5YoY ▼ 65.9
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 160 | 105 | 1,486 | 6 | 487% | 193.5 | 11.4 |
| 2024 | 11 | 106 | 79 | 990 | 3 | 357% | 127.6 | 11.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
194
2023
128
2024