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Ainias Smith
WR · CAR · Bye 5 · Age 25 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #9
VALUE · VORP
VOR-76.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -145μ -67ceil -8
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
58.6
projected fantasy points (σ 53.4)
floor -10μ 59ceil 127
Outcome uncertainty
- bust92%
P10 -10 ptsμ̃ 59 ptsP90 127 pts
heuristic: 83regression: 34
Advanced Analytics
15.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.5.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.4.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.78%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.9.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.6best 10.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 29% | 10.7 | 3.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
11
2024