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George Pickens
WR · DAL · Bye 14 · Age 25 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR+12.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP19.4Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -77μ 60ceil 102
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
151.8
projected fantasy points (σ 69.8)
floor 63μ 152ceil 241
Outcome uncertainty
- bust43%
P10 63 ptsμ̃ 152 ptsP90 241 pts
consensus: 203heuristic: 136regression: 117
Advanced Analytics
59.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.16.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.59%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 7.6best 145.8YoY ▼ 40.4
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 84 | 52 | 801 | 4 | 272% | 114.5 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 106 | 63 | 1,140 | 5 | 382% | 145.8 | 8.6 |
| 2024 | 14 | 103 | 59 | 900 | 3 | 374% | 105.4 | 7.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
115
2022
146
2023
105
2024