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Jalen Hurts
QB · PHI · Bye 10 · Age 28 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+99.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP81.5Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 8μ 110ceil 192
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
290.8
projected fantasy points (σ 71.9)
floor 199μ 291ceil 383
Outcome uncertainty
- bust8%
P10 199 ptsμ̃ 291 ptsP90 383 pts
consensus: 317heuristic: 296regression: 259
Advanced Analytics
42.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.9%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.222.6
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 22.3best 378.0YoY ▼ 41.7
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 3,701 | 22 | 6 | 760 | 13 | 378.0 | 25.2 |
| 2023 | 17 | 3,858 | 23 | 15 | 605 | 15 | 356.8 | 21.0 |
| 2024 | 15 | 2,903 | 18 | 5 | 630 | 14 | 315.1 | 21.0 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
378
2022
357
2023
315
2024