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Brenton Strange
TE · JAX · Bye 7 · Age 25 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-15.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP172.5Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -74μ -19ceil 44
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
80.4
projected fantasy points (σ 46.2)
floor 21μ 80ceil 139
Outcome uncertainty
- bust63%
P10 21 ptsμ̃ 80 ptsP90 140 pts
consensus: 97heuristic: 77regression: 68
Advanced Analytics
23.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.9.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.2
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.73%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.2best 51.1YoY ▲ 41.6
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 30% | 9.5 | 1.9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 53 | 40 | 411 | 2 | 160% | 51.1 | 3.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
9
2023
51
2024