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Christian McCaffrey
RB · SF · Bye 8 · Age 30 · 9 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-39.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -179μ 4ceil 101
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
77.2
projected fantasy points (σ 109.3)
floor -63μ 77ceil 217
Outcome uncertainty
- bust64%
P10 -63 ptsμ̃ 77 ptsP90 218 pts
heuristic: 95regression: 60
Advanced Analytics
114.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.9
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.80%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.0.9
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 17.0best 324.3YoY ▼ 291.5
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 244 | 1,139 | 8 | 85 | 741 | 271.4 | 16.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 272 | 1,459 | 14 | 67 | 564 | 324.3 | 20.3 |
| 2024 | 4 | 50 | 202 | 0 | 15 | 146 | 32.8 | 8.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
271
2022
324
2023
33
2024