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Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · Bye 7 · Age 24 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #2

Questionable

VALUE · VORP

VOR-78.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP167.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -138μ -56ceil -18

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

61.6

projected fantasy points (σ 47.2)

floor 1μ 62ceil 122

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust95%
P10 1 ptsμ̃ 62 ptsP90 122 pts
consensus: 67heuristic: 86regression: 32

Advanced Analytics

60.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
6.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
12.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
10.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
83%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
2.7%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 7.4best 60.9YoY ▼ 55.1
Keaton Mitchell career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
2023747396299360.98.7
20242153001285.82.9

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

61
2023
6
2024