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Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND · Bye 13 · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+102.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP5.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -39μ 151ceil 244
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
242.2
projected fantasy points (σ 110.4)
floor 101μ 242ceil 384
Outcome uncertainty
- bust18%
P10 101 ptsμ̃ 242 ptsP90 384 pts
consensus: 329heuristic: 204regression: 193
Advanced Analytics
99.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.4.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.69%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 13.8best 228.7YoY ▲ 91.3
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11 | 192 | 861 | 4 | 28 | 143 | 118.4 | 10.8 |
| 2023 | 10 | 169 | 741 | 7 | 19 | 153 | 137.4 | 13.7 |
| 2024 | 14 | 303 | 1,431 | 11 | 18 | 136 | 228.7 | 16.3 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
118
2022
137
2023
229
2024