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Brock Purdy
QB · SF · Bye 8 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+74.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP88.4Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -37μ 83ceil 187
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
265.6
projected fantasy points (σ 87.5)
floor 154μ 266ceil 378
Outcome uncertainty
- bust20%
P10 154 ptsμ̃ 266 ptsP90 378 pts
consensus: 316heuristic: 256regression: 225
Advanced Analytics
12.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.8
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.237.9
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 16.7best 295.6YoY ▼ 28.7
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9 | 1,374 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 106.3 | 11.8 |
| 2023 | 16 | 4,280 | 31 | 11 | 144 | 2 | 295.6 | 18.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 3,864 | 20 | 12 | 323 | 5 | 266.9 | 17.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
106
2022
296
2023
267
2024