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Kyren Williams
RB · LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+75.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP27.7Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -38μ 71ceil 190
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
215.4
projected fantasy points (σ 89.1)
floor 101μ 215ceil 329
Outcome uncertainty
- bust20%
P10 101 ptsμ̃ 215 ptsP90 330 pts
consensus: 223heuristic: 217regression: 207
Advanced Analytics
84.6
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.4.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 13.4best 238.1YoY ▲ 15.1
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8 | 35 | 139 | 0 | 9 | 76 | 21.5 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 12 | 228 | 1,144 | 12 | 32 | 206 | 223.0 | 18.6 |
| 2024 | 16 | 316 | 1,299 | 14 | 34 | 182 | 238.1 | 14.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
22
2022
223
2023
238
2024