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Dan Arnold
TE · Free Agent · Age 28 · 6 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-51.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -108μ -31ceil 5
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
32.7
projected fantasy points (σ 44.2)
floor -24μ 33ceil 89
Outcome uncertainty
- bust88%
P10 -24 ptsμ̃ 33 ptsP90 89 pts
heuristic: 41regression: 25
Advanced Analytics
13.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.15.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.10.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.69%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 1.4best 13.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 135 | 0 | 38% | 13.5 | 1.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
14
2022