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Brian Thomas
WR · JAX · Bye 7 · Age 23 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #2
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+51.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -34μ 4ceil 135
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
190.5
projected fantasy points (σ 66.0)
floor 106μ 191ceil 275
Outcome uncertainty
- bust22%
P10 106 ptsμ̃ 191 ptsP90 275 pts
heuristic: 190regression: 191
Advanced Analytics
78.2
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.8.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.14.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.65%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.7.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 11.6best 197.0
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 133 | 87 | 1,282 | 10 | 433% | 197.0 | 11.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
197
2024