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Darnell Mooney

WR · NYG · Bye 8 · Age 28 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #2

VALUE · VORP

VOR-3.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -70μ 21ceil 64

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

132.3

projected fantasy points (σ 52.2)

floor 65μ 132ceil 199

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust52%
P10 66 ptsμ̃ 132 ptsP90 199 pts
heuristic: 141regression: 124

Advanced Analytics

46.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
2.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
14.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
8.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
59%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 5.8best 129.2YoY 81.3
Darnell Mooney career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
20221161404932297%61.55.6
20231461314141207%47.93.4
202416106649925329%129.28.1

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

62
2022
48
2023
129
2024