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Baker Mayfield
QB · TB · Bye 10 · Age 31 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+88.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP135.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -15μ 42ceil 193
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
279.9
projected fantasy points (σ 81.4)
floor 176μ 280ceil 384
Outcome uncertainty
- bust14%
P10 176 ptsμ̃ 280 ptsP90 384 pts
consensus: 261heuristic: 301regression: 278
Advanced Analytics
13.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.232.8
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.3
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 16.5best 365.8YoY ▲ 91.7
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 2,163 | 10 | 8 | 89 | 1 | 121.4 | 10.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4,044 | 28 | 10 | 163 | 1 | 274.1 | 16.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4,500 | 41 | 16 | 378 | 3 | 365.8 | 21.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
121
2022
274
2023
366
2024