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Connor Heyward
TE · LV · Bye 13 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #3
VALUE · VORP
VOR-46.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -105μ -36ceil 11
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
37.2
projected fantasy points (σ 45.3)
floor -21μ 37ceil 95
Outcome uncertainty
- bust85%
P10 -21 ptsμ̃ 37 ptsP90 95 pts
heuristic: 52regression: 22
Advanced Analytics
16.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.9.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.69%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.1best 23.8YoY ▼ 6.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 151 | 1 | 55% | 23.8 | 3.0 |
| 2023 | 11 | 34 | 23 | 167 | 0 | 115% | 16.7 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 1 | 30% | 10.0 | 2.0 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
24
2022
17
2023
10
2024