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Ben Ellefson

TE · Free Agent · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-45.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -106μ -36ceil 15

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

38.3

projected fantasy points (σ 47.1)

floor -22μ 38ceil 99

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust83%
P10 -22 ptsμ̃ 38 ptsP90 99 pts
heuristic: 54regression: 23

Advanced Analytics

13.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
8.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
8.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.3best 2.6
Ben Ellefson career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
20222332609%2.61.3

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
3
2022