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Juwan Johnson
TE · NO · Bye 8 · Age 29 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-4.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP160.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -63μ -16ceil 53
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
90.9
projected fantasy points (σ 45.3)
floor 33μ 91ceil 149
Outcome uncertainty
- bust54%
P10 33 ptsμ̃ 91 ptsP90 149 pts
consensus: 105heuristic: 92regression: 76
Advanced Analytics
32.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.11.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.68%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.7.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 5.1best 92.8YoY ▲ 12.0
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 65 | 42 | 508 | 7 | 235% | 92.8 | 5.8 |
| 2023 | 13 | 59 | 37 | 368 | 4 | 181% | 60.8 | 4.7 |
| 2024 | 15 | 66 | 50 | 548 | 3 | 204% | 72.8 | 4.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
93
2022
61
2023
73
2024