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Alec Pierce
WR · IND · Bye 13 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR-4.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP63.3Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -76μ 8ceil 67
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
134.9
projected fantasy points (σ 55.8)
floor 63μ 135ceil 206
Outcome uncertainty
- bust53%
P10 64 ptsμ̃ 135 ptsP90 207 pts
consensus: 162heuristic: 128regression: 115
Advanced Analytics
39.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.17.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.52%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 5.3best 124.4YoY ▲ 61.0
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 78 | 41 | 593 | 2 | 234% | 71.3 | 4.5 |
| 2023 | 17 | 65 | 32 | 514 | 2 | 196% | 63.4 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 69 | 37 | 824 | 7 | 237% | 124.4 | 7.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
71
2022
63
2023
124
2024