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Cedrick Wilson
WR · DET · Bye 6 · Age 30 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #7
VALUE · VORP
VOR-83.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -142μ -67ceil -24
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
52.4
projected fantasy points (σ 46.3)
floor -7μ 52ceil 112
Outcome uncertainty
- bust96%
P10 -7 ptsμ̃ 52 ptsP90 112 pts
heuristic: 69regression: 36
Advanced Analytics
21.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.8.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.65%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.0.7
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.1best 47.6YoY ▼ 15.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9 | 18 | 12 | 136 | 0 | 57% | 14.4 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 11 | 38 | 22 | 296 | 3 | 118% | 47.6 | 4.3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 27 | 20 | 211 | 1 | 79% | 31.9 | 3.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
14
2022
48
2023
32
2024