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Tee Higgins
WR · CIN · Bye 6 · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR+39.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP36.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -39μ 35ceil 117
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
178.8
projected fantasy points (σ 60.8)
floor 101μ 179ceil 257
Outcome uncertainty
- bust26%
P10 101 ptsμ̃ 179 ptsP90 257 pts
consensus: 183heuristic: 196regression: 158
Advanced Analytics
68.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.13.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.64%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.7.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 10.3best 149.1YoY ▲ 53.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 109 | 74 | 1,029 | 7 | 300% | 146.9 | 10.5 |
| 2023 | 12 | 76 | 42 | 656 | 5 | 211% | 95.6 | 8.0 |
| 2024 | 12 | 109 | 73 | 911 | 10 | 313% | 149.1 | 12.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
147
2022
96
2023
149
2024