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Blake Watson

RB · Free Agent · Age 26 · 2 yrs exp

Questionable

VALUE · VORP

VOR-58.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -135μ -44ceil 18

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

57.3

projected fantasy points (σ 59.8)

floor -19μ 57ceil 134

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust84%
P10 -19 ptsμ̃ 57 ptsP90 134 pts
heuristic: 90regression: 24

Advanced Analytics

23.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
2.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
13.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
6.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
50%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 2.3best 2.3
Blake Watson career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
2024141001132.32.3

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
2
2024