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PHI

Carson Steele

RB · PHI · Bye 10 · Age 23 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #6

VALUE · VORP

VOR-69.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -127μ -61ceil -11

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

47.1

projected fantasy points (σ 45.5)

floor -11μ 47ceil 105

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust94%
P10 -11 ptsμ̃ 47 ptsP90 106 pts
heuristic: 54regression: 40

Advanced Analytics

17.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
3.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
3.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
2.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
64%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.4best 16.9
Carson Steele career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
20241256183072616.91.4

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
17
2024