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Damien Harris

RB · Free Agent · Age 27 · 5 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-63.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -129μ -34ceil 3

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

52.9

projected fantasy points (σ 51.7)

floor -13μ 53ceil 119

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust89%
P10 -13 ptsμ̃ 53 ptsP90 119 pts
heuristic: 73regression: 33

Advanced Analytics

39.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
4.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
5.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
4.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
76%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
2.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 5.3best 73.9YoY 56.9
Damien Harris career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
2022111064623179773.96.7
202362394121617.02.8

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

74
2022
17
2023