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Keenan Allen
WR · IND · Bye 13 · Age 34 · 13 yrs exp · Depth #3
VALUE · VORP
VOR-33.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP135.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -94μ -23ceil 28
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
106.1
projected fantasy points (σ 47.6)
floor 45μ 106ceil 167
Outcome uncertainty
- bust76%
P10 45 ptsμ̃ 106 ptsP90 167 pts
consensus: 106heuristic: 109regression: 104
Advanced Analytics
72.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.7
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.68%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.1.3
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.1.0
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 10.1best 170.9YoY ▼ 56.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | 89 | 66 | 752 | 4 | 233% | 98.0 | 9.8 |
| 2023 | 13 | 150 | 108 | 1,243 | 7 | 408% | 170.9 | 13.1 |
| 2024 | 15 | 121 | 70 | 744 | 7 | 398% | 114.4 | 7.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
98
2022
171
2023
114
2024