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Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · Bye 11 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #2

VALUE · VORP

VOR+19.2Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -44μ 34ceil 82

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

135.3

projected fantasy points (σ 49.3)

floor 72μ 135ceil 198

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust35%
P10 72 ptsμ̃ 135 ptsP90 199 pts
heuristic: 142regression: 129

Advanced Analytics

71.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
4.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
9.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
7.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
81%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 9.9best 162.1YoY 22.3
Brian Robinson career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
2022122057972960103.78.6
202315178733536368162.110.8
202414187799820159139.810.0

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

104
2022
162
2023
140
2024