← Player Explorer
Brian Robinson
RB · ATL · Bye 11 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR-25.4Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP163.7Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -93μ -58ceil 43
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
114.3
projected fantasy points (σ 53.1)
floor 46μ 114ceil 182
Outcome uncertainty
- bust68%
P10 46 ptsμ̃ 114 ptsP90 183 pts
consensus: 72heuristic: 142regression: 129
Advanced Analytics
71.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.9.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.81%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 9.9best 162.1YoY ▼ 22.3
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 205 | 797 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 103.7 | 8.6 |
| 2023 | 15 | 178 | 733 | 5 | 36 | 368 | 162.1 | 10.8 |
| 2024 | 14 | 187 | 799 | 8 | 20 | 159 | 139.8 | 10.0 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
104
2022
162
2023
140
2024