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Dallas Goedert
TE · PHI · Bye 10 · Age 31 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+8.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP96.2Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -67μ 4ceil 84
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
104.1
projected fantasy points (σ 58.6)
floor 29μ 104ceil 179
Outcome uncertainty
- bust44%
P10 29 ptsμ̃ 104 ptsP90 179 pts
consensus: 144heuristic: 99regression: 69
Advanced Analytics
49.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.1.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.5
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.76%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.9%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 6.3best 86.2YoY ▼ 15.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 69 | 55 | 702 | 3 | 242% | 86.2 | 7.2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 83 | 59 | 592 | 3 | 272% | 77.3 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 496 | 2 | 193% | 61.6 | 6.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
86
2022
77
2023
62
2024