← Player Explorer
Ashton Dulin
WR · IND · Bye 13 · Age 29 · 7 yrs exp · Depth #4
VALUE · VORP
VOR-103.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -162μ -94ceil -45
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
35.6
projected fantasy points (σ 45.7)
floor -23μ 36ceil 94
Outcome uncertainty
- bust99%
P10 -23 ptsμ̃ 36 ptsP90 94 pts
heuristic: 52regression: 19
Advanced Analytics
20.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.7.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.16.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.9.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.57%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.8best 27.5YoY ▼ 10.3
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 22 | 15 | 207 | 1 | 62% | 27.5 | 3.9 |
| 2024 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 67 | 1 | 31% | 17.2 | 1.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
28
2022
17
2024