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Colton Dowell
WR · SF · Bye 8 · Age 27 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #8
VALUE · VORP
VOR-96.2Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -164μ -83ceil -28
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
39.2
projected fantasy points (σ 53.2)
floor -29μ 39ceil 107
Outcome uncertainty
- bust96%
P10 -29 ptsμ̃ 39 ptsP90 108 pts
heuristic: 67regression: 12
Advanced Analytics
1.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.1.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.50%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 0.2best 0.3
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8% | 0.3 | 0.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
0
2023