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Chig Okonkwo
TE · WAS · Bye 7 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR-17.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -74μ -25ceil 40
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
78.6
projected fantasy points (σ 44.2)
floor 22μ 79ceil 135
Outcome uncertainty
- bust65%
P10 22 ptsμ̃ 79 ptsP90 135 pts
heuristic: 82regression: 75
Advanced Analytics
30.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.10.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.72%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.9best 65.2YoY ▲ 2.2
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 46 | 32 | 450 | 3 | 193% | 65.2 | 4.3 |
| 2023 | 17 | 77 | 54 | 528 | 1 | 275% | 59.4 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 70 | 52 | 479 | 2 | 226% | 61.6 | 3.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
65
2022
59
2023
62
2024