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Mark Andrews
TE · BAL · Bye 13 · Age 30 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+22.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP124.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -37μ 2ceil 82
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
118.4
projected fantasy points (σ 46.6)
floor 59μ 118ceil 178
Outcome uncertainty
- bust31%
P10 59 ptsμ̃ 118 ptsP90 178 pts
consensus: 113heuristic: 124regression: 118
Advanced Analytics
49.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.1.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.71%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.8.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 8.1best 133.8YoY ▲ 43.4
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 113 | 73 | 847 | 5 | 431% | 117.5 | 7.8 |
| 2023 | 10 | 61 | 45 | 544 | 6 | 214% | 90.4 | 9.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 69 | 55 | 673 | 11 | 254% | 133.8 | 7.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
118
2022
90
2023
134
2024